What is the probability that an earthquake will occur in the San Francisco Bay Area?

 

 

 

Within the next 30 years the probability is:

  • 72% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7
  • 51% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7
  • 20% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5

will occur in the San Francisco region.

Learn More:

Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3