Seismic Hazards -- Maps, Probabilities, and EQ Engineering - 15 of 14

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What is the probability that an earthquake will occur in the Los Angeles area?  in the San Francisco Bay area? 

Los Angeles area:


Within the next 30 years the probability is:


  • 60% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7

  • 46% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7

  • 31% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5

will occur in the Los Angeles region.


 


San Francisco Bay area:


Within the next 30 years the probability is:


  • 72% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 6.7

  • 51% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7

  • 20% that an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5





will occur in the San Francisco region.





 


Learn More:


Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3